Infections and deaths increased during the partial ban

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Kuwait City, March 17: A professor of biological mathematics and modeling at Kuwait University Dr. Abdullah Al-Shammari said that the initial comparison of the health situation in the week preceding the imposition of the partial ban and the first week of the ban proved that the incidence of “positive swabs” continued to rise under the ban, indicating that its evaluation also needs a longer period.

Al-Shammari added that the comparison prepared by Al-Qabas revealed a decrease in the registration of infections which reached 7.9% but compared to that, there was a decrease in the number of tests (swabs) by 13.7%, while deaths increased by 2.3%.

Read also: Infections and recoveries equal 1,314 cases and 7 deaths

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Al-Shammari stressed that one of the indicators that reveal the signs of the success of the ban or not is the rate of infections, out of the total swabs, which witnessed an increase of 1% from the previous percentage in the week before the ban, asking:

Will the partial ban prove its success?

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comparison showing the health status before and during the partial ban. Image Source Arabic Local [email protected]

The events are continuing


He pointed out that the idea of ​​partial prohibitions is based on reducing the duration of contact or contact between individuals, as well as the number of individuals with whom we have contact.

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However, there are still individuals who hold crowded social events outside the times of the ban, in addition to what public places are witnessing at the present time in terms of crowding between people, during periods of time.

Less Epidemiological investigation measures and random examination would reveal the degree of spread of the epidemic and identify foci of spread.

And he indicated that the return project, which he participated in with a group of academics, and proposed it to be a gateway to the return of life and to correct the observations of the previous procedures. It included an item in which the benefit of the partial and total restrictions that were applied last year, and ended with the elimination of the benefit of the ban.

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He explained that the application of the ban must achieve general goals to be considered successful, which are: reducing the total number of injuries and deaths, reducing the expected peak of infections (flattening the curve) and achieving an actual decline in active infection in society, stressing that both the previous total and partial prohibitions failed to achieve the actual decline of infection while they succeeded in Flattening the injury curve and reducing the overall number of deaths.

Al-Shammari pointed out that he conducted a comparison of data during the two previous restrictions, through which it was found that the number of examinations decreased significantly and that the rate of injuries and deaths (the number of injuries and daily deaths) either increased significantly or continued at the same levels, while the percentage of injuries did not change from the beginning of the total ban to its end. It was higher at the end of the partial ban, reaching 16.5%.

Al-Shammari called for the necessity to draw up the policies for implementing the ban in a way that achieves the desired goals, on top of which is an actual decline in infection, stressing that the evaluation of the current ban needs an additional week until it becomes clear whether it is successful or not.

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